PBI

Insight · Aerospace Mobility

Distance as a Cost Line

Devan Sequeira · Chief Executive Officer

Executive summary

Distance imposes a cost on every enterprise that requires something, or someone, to be somewhere else. Throughout history, humanity has addressed this through increasingly sophisticated transport and increasingly substantial expenditure.

PBI views maritime and aerospace mobility as complementary investment opportunities. Vessels provide capacity and reach. Aircraft provide speed. Both require capital discipline, operational competence and a clear understanding of why the asset is moving.

Our investment thesis is straightforward: reducing the cost of distance can create lasting value. The appropriate solution may involve a boat. The group is adequately prepared for that finding.

Devan Sequeira, Chief Executive Officer
Devan Sequeira, Chief Executive Officer

Notes from the CEO

I have long believed that being in the right place at the right time is a competitive advantage. I have also observed that the right place is frequently accessible by water.

These observations have informed my thinking, although the Executive Committee has asked that they be assessed separately.

The following article sets out our view of mobility as an investment opportunity, drawing on humanity’s long struggle with distance and PBI’s more recent concerns about it. It should also clarify why aerospace and maritime sit alongside one another within the group.

Any interpretation that this constitutes advance approval for a particular vessel would be premature. Approval remains with me.

Devan Sequeira

Chief Executive Officer

Throughout history, people have needed to move.

From humble bipedal beginnings, humanity has demonstrated a persistent dissatisfaction with its current location. We walked. We tamed animals. We harnessed the wind and crossed oceans in wooden vessels under governance arrangements that would now require explanation. Eventually, we conquered the sky.

At each stage, someone looked towards the horizon and saw opportunity. Someone else asked what it would cost. Civilisation has advanced through the occasionally productive tension between those two individuals.

Distance has always been a frontier. At that frontier, cost is king. Time, safety and money have financed every crossing, in proportions that were not always agreed before departure.

At Phat Balls Inc., we understand this better than anyone else. This is the group’s position, and the group is comfortably positioned.

The early limitations of walking

Humanity’s first mobility platform was serviceable. It required little infrastructure, ran on broadly available inputs and could be operated without a licence.

Its commercial limitations became apparent at scale.

Walking restricted the movement of goods to what a person could carry and the movement of people to what they could tolerate. Early expansion was therefore subject to fatigue, terrain and the availability of someone willing to hold the other end.

The domestication of animals improved capacity and range, while introducing the familiar challenge of an operational asset with its own priorities.

The vessel represented a more substantial development.

For the first time, considerable quantities of people, goods and executive conviction could be dispatched beyond the horizon. Trade expanded. Fortunes accumulated. Those responsible for departure were not always available to discuss arrival.

The sea had opened for business.

“Civilisation has advanced through the occasionally productive tension between those two individuals.”

The boat remains persuasive

PBI maintains a considered respect for the vessel.

Few assets combine carrying capacity, strategic reach and the possibility of an onboard lunch quite so effectively. A well-deployed vessel can connect markets, support industry and generate value over a long operating life. A poorly deployed vessel can generate invoices with comparable endurance.

The distinction warrants attention.

Throughout maritime history, distance has tied up capital. Cargo at sea is inventory unavailable for sale. A delayed arrival can hold up everything arranged around it. A vessel awaiting repair continues to incur costs with an administrative efficiency that its propulsion system may currently lack.

These are familiar commercial realities. They also explain why a group with a serious interest in boats eventually looks upwards.

Aviation enters the discussion

Conquering the sky allowed humanity to cross in hours what had previously required days or weeks. It also established a new category of expenditure for people who consider their presence elsewhere to be urgent.

Some of that urgency withstands scrutiny.

Consider a vessel held in port by a failed component. The replacement itself may be inexpensive. Its absence has assembled a considerably more ambitious cost structure.

The crew remains employed. The berth remains occupied. The customer is requesting updates at intervals that no longer reflect the availability of new information.

Under these circumstances, flying the component to the vessel can be an excellent allocation of capital.

The aircraft restores the productivity of the boat. The boat resumes its commercial activity. The finance function is permitted a brief period of satisfaction.

This is the sort of cooperation between investment verticals that PBI encourages.

Conviction requires a denominator

Naturally, the ability to move quickly does not establish that every movement is worthwhile.

An aircraft interest, charter arrangement or logistics operation must justify its costs through utilisation, reliability and the value of the time it saves. The investment case should remain intact when the cabin photographs are removed.

PBI applies the same discipline to maritime assets. A vessel being described as “strategic” does not, by itself, explain why it has six guest cabins. There may be an explanation. It should be recorded.

Safety also retains full standing in the calculation. Weather has historically shown limited regard for seniority, and the group sees little evidence that a more assertive management style will resolve this.

Executive conviction can authorise expenditure. It cannot improve visibility.

The operators worth backing understand these boundaries. They know what a journey costs, what a delay costs and when remaining exactly where they are represents sound judgement.

“Executive conviction can authorise expenditure. It cannot improve visibility.”

Our position on the horizon

From the first uncertain steps across open ground to oceanic voyages and powered flight, progress has depended on people willing to go further—and people capable of making the journey economically repeatable.

PBI sees opportunity in that relationship.

We are interested in vessels, aviation and the infrastructure that makes both useful. We assess where distance consumes time, immobilises capital or prevents something valuable from happening. Then we consider what it would cost to change the situation.

Sometimes the answer is an aircraft. Sometimes it is a larger vessel. Occasionally, it is a competent person making arrangements on a Tuesday instead of escalating them on a Friday.

The group remains receptive to all three.

Distance will continue to present a frontier. We intend to arrive with sufficient capital, an informed view of the risks and appropriate access to a boat.

The precise size of the boat remains under strategic review.

“The precise size of the boat remains under strategic review.”

Further Insights are published when finished.

Correspondence regarding this piece may be directed to the Chief Executive Officer through the Contact page.